Ailing Senators start up road trip in Edmonton

Hockey Betting Lines

03/09/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - As the Ottawa Senators head to Western Canada, they hope they left a crippling flu bug behind them. The team will try to snap a three- game overall slide and pick up a sixth straight win over the Edmonton Oilers, who look to win three straight this evening at Rexall Place.

The Senators, on their longest losing streak since a five-game skid from January 5-12, will aim to get healthy for the start of this trek. They were without both captain Daniel Alfredsson and Peter Regin on Saturday versus Toronto, while several other players were below 100 percent. However, the Senators escaped with a point in the 2-1 shootout loss.

Chris Neil scored while Pascal Leclaire stopped 30 shots for the Senators, who have managed to score just a single goal in each of their last three losses.

"A lot of guys are feeling real bad in there," said Ottawa defenseman Andy Sutton. "Pascal was real solid for us out there [Saturday] and gave us a chance to win."

Ottawa, which trails Buffalo by two points for first place in the Northeast Division, will hope to have Alfredsson and Regin back tonight, but defenseman Filip Kuba is unlikely to play this week due to a lower-body injury that has held him out of the last two games.

The Sens ran their series win streak over the Oilers to five games with a 4-3 shootout victory at home on November 10. Jason Spezza had the game-winner in the deciding phase and Leclaire made 31 saves for Ottawa, which is 7-1 with a tie in its last nine versus Edmonton and hasn't lost in this series since March 14, 2004. The Senators' current five-game win streak over the Oilers includes a pair of victories in Edmonton.

Jeff Deslauriers halted 22 shots in that November loss for the Oilers, but he is coming off a 22-save shutout of New Jersey on Sunday, his third blanking of the season.

Gilbert Brule and Marc Pouliot each had a goal for the Oilers, who have won two straight on the heels of a three-game losing streak but are still just 6-25-2 over their last 33 games. Still, Edmonton can win three straight for the first time since December 3-11.

"We're playing with a lot of grit and determination these last couple of games," said Brule, who has two goals and three assists over his last five contests.

Edmonton concludes a three-game homestand tonight and has won four of its last five as the host.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.